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With the announcement of 4 separate independence referenda in the Ukrainian regions of Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson and Zaporizha the game has utterly changed in the six month Russia/Ukraine conflict. It is highly probable that all four regions will vote in favour of a move into the Russian Federation of States. So, by October 1st this military campaign in Ukraine will cease to fall under the definition of " Special Military Operation “, and instead, any military attacks by Ukrainian forces inside these four regions will be considered attacks on or inside Russian borders. In preparation for this eventuality Vladimir Putin has sanctioned a huge mobilization of additional Russian troops. It is restricted to the conscription, for the moment at least, of citizens already members of the Russian reserves. This massive change of direction and increasing of tensions will certainly test the resolve of Ukraine’s NATO allies to formulate an adequate response. Just this morning Russia’s Defence Minister Shoigu said the following during the course of an interview.
“Russia is at war with the collective West… Ukraine has long since run out of weapons”
It would seem that the potential for a world war is a step closer, just how close remains to be seen.
The self-styled Donetsk People’s Republic (DPR) and the Luhansk People’s Republic (LPR), which President Vladimir Putin recognised as independent states just before the invasion on February 24, have said they want referendums on joining Russia from September 23 to 27 – that is from this Friday to Tuesday. The startling speed of delivery of these public votes have caught many by surprise. Even independent commentators sympathetic to Russia didn’t really see this turn of events coming so quickly.
The Kherson and Zaporizhia regions, which are yet to be recognised as independent states by Russia, have also said they will hold their own votes. It is worth noting that Russia does not fully control any of the four regions, and for example, only about 60 percent of the entire Donetsk region is in Russian hands. Russia has announced plans to incorporate many of the local fighting forces in these four regions, for example the Donbas militias, into the full Russian army.
The timing of the announcement of these referenda and Vladimir Putin’s nationwide address to the people of Russia last night, during which he announced the mobilization of Russian reserve troops ( thought to be an initial 300,000 ), must be looked at in relation to his very recent meetings with members of the SCO. The Shanghai Cooperation Organisation is a Eurasian political, economic and security organization. In terms of geographic scope and population, it is the world's largest regional organization, covering approximately 60% of the area of Eurasia, 40% of the world population, and more than 30% of global GDP.
It is inconceivable that Putin did not have some discussion of his immediate plans with the two largest members of this organisation, China & India, before going ahead with yesterday’s escalation in Russia’s response to events in Ukraine. It will be very noteworthy to see how these two countries in particular respond to the results of the referenda in the four Ukrainian regions as the final poll and results start to emerge on September 28th or September 29th. However it is worth noting that in the initial hours after Putin’s address to the Russian people that China has not changed its position to the conflict in Ukraine as can be seen from Chinese news agency the South China Morning Post.
The Chinese foreign ministry were out pretty quickly too with their own direct statement which is a continuation of the same message it has been sticking to for the entirety of the Russia/Ukraine conflict. There is no outright condemnation of the new Russian approach.
“ China’s position that the parties involved in the security crisis should exercise restraint and seek a mutually acceptable solution has been consistent and clear “
- spokesman for the Chinese Foreign Ministry Wang Wenbin.
These announcements leave less than three days for Ukraine’s allies in NATO to formulate a response and thwart these proposed referenda going ahead. However, the initial White House response doesn’t look promising as US President Joe Biden and his White House administration set about attacking Putin and Russia. He has condemned Vladimir Putin's "reckless" nuclear threats and accused him of "shamelessly violating the core tenets" of the United Nations charter. Bizarrely, there have been no strong calls for peace talks from either the US, EU or UN as the world lurches ever closer to a vast expansion of this war and its threats to the peoples of the world.
Finally, it should be noted that while Putin’s declaration of troop mobilization is a partial mobilization as outlined above, it also marks the first time Russia has mobilized troops since World War II. The proposed mobilization of 300,000 reserves is a fraction of Russia’s overall reserve capability which stands at over 2 million potentially.
I am posting Putin’s address to the Russian People below for the simple reason that most western media won’t publish the text in full. It shouldn’t be taken as support for Russia or what they are proposing to do. It is newsworthy though and people should have the facility to read it if they so desire.
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Putin’s re-recorded address to the Russian People on Russian State Television 21/09/2021
Dear friends,
The topic of my speech is the situation in the Donbas and the course of a special military operation to liberate it from the neo-Nazi regime that seized power in Ukraine in 2014 as a result of an armed coup.
I am addressing you today: to all citizens of our country, to people of different generations, ages and nationalities, to the people of our great Motherland, to all who are united by great historical Russia, to the soldiers and officers, volunteers who are now fighting on the front lines, are on the combat post, to our brothers and sisters - residents of the Donetsk and Lugansk People's Republics, Kherson and Zaporozhye regions, and other areas liberated from the neo-Nazi regime.
We will talk about the necessary, urgent steps to protect the sovereignty, security and territorial integrity of Russia, about supporting the desire and will of our compatriots to determine their own future and about the aggressive policy of part of the Western elites, who are striving with all their might to maintain their dominance, and for this they are trying to block, to suppress any sovereign independent centers of development in order to continue to crudely impose their will on other countries and peoples, to plant their pseudo-values.
The purpose of this West is to weaken, divide and eventually destroy our country. They are already directly saying that in 1991 they were able to split the Soviet Union, and now the time has come for Russia itself, that it should break up into many mortally hostile regions and regions.
And they've had plans like this for a long time. They encouraged gangs of international terrorists in the Caucasus, promoted the offensive infrastructure of NATO close to our borders. They made total Russophobia their weapon, including for decades they deliberately nurtured hatred for Russia, primarily in Ukraine, for which they were preparing the fate of an anti-Russian foothold, and the Ukrainian people themselves were turned into cannon fodder and pushed to war with our country, unleashing it - this war - back in 2014, using armed forces against the civilian population, organizing genocide, blockade, terror against people who refused to recognize the power that arose in Ukraine as a result of a coup.
And after the current Kyiv regime actually publicly refused a peaceful solution to the Donbass problem and, moreover, announced its claims to nuclear weapons, it became absolutely clear that a new next, as it had happened twice before, a large-scale attack on the Donbass was inevitable. And then, just as inevitably, an attack on the Russian Crimea would follow - on Russia.
In this regard, the decision on a pre-emptive military operation was absolutely necessary and the only possible one. Its main goals - the liberation of the entire territory of Donbass - have been and remain unchanged.
The Lugansk People's Republic has already been almost completely cleared of neo-Nazis. Fighting in the Donetsk People's Republic continues. Here, for eight years, the Kyiv occupation regime created a deeply echeloned line of long-term fortifications. Their head-on assault would have resulted in heavy losses, so our units, as well as the military units of the Donbass republics, act systematically, competently, use equipment, protect personnel and step by step liberate Donetsk land, clear cities and towns from neo-Nazis, provide assistance to people whom the Kyiv regime turned them into hostages, into human shields.
As you know, professional servicemen serving under contract take part in the special military operation. Volunteer formations are also fighting shoulder to shoulder with them: people of different nationalities, professions, ages are real patriots. At the call of their hearts, they rose to the defense of Russia and Donbass.
In this regard, I have already given instructions to the Government and the Ministry of Defense in full and in the shortest possible time to determine the legal status of volunteers, as well as fighters of the units of the Donetsk and Lugansk People's Republics. It should be the same as that of regular servicemen of the Russian army, including material, medical support, and social guarantees. Particular attention should be paid to organizing the supply of volunteer formations and detachments of the people's militia of Donbass with equipment and equipment.
In the course of solving the main tasks of protecting the Donbass, our troops, based on the plans and decisions of the Ministry of Defense and the General Staff on the general strategy of action, liberated from neo-Nazis also significant territories of the Kherson and Zaporozhye regions, as well as a number of other regions. As a result, a long line of combat contact was formed, which is over a thousand kilometers.
What I want to say publicly today for the first time. Already after the start of the special military operation, including the talks in Istanbul, the representatives of Kyiv reacted very positively to our proposals, and these proposals primarily concerned ensuring Russia's security and our interests. But it is obvious that the peaceful solution did not suit the West, therefore, after reaching certain compromises, Kyiv was actually given a direct order to disrupt all agreements.
Ukraine began to be pumped up with weapons even more. The Kyiv regime has launched new gangs of foreign mercenaries and nationalists, military units trained to NATO standards and under the de facto command of Western advisers.
At the same time, the regime of repressions throughout Ukraine against its own citizens, established immediately after the armed coup of 2014, was strengthened in the most severe way. The policy of intimidation, terror and violence is assuming more and more massive, terrible, barbaric forms.
I want to emphasize that we know that the majority of people living in the territories liberated from neo-Nazis, and these are, first of all, the historical lands of Novorossiya, do not want to be under the yoke of the neo-Nazi regime. In Zaporozhye, in the Kherson region, in Lugansk and Donetsk, they have seen and are seeing the atrocities that neo-Nazis are doing in the occupied areas of the Kharkov region. The heirs of Bandera and Nazi punishers kill people, torture them, throw them in prison, settle scores, crack down on, torment civilians.
More than seven and a half million people lived in the Donetsk and Lugansk People's Republics, Zaporozhye and Kherson regions before the outbreak of hostilities. Many of them were forced to become refugees, to leave their homes. And those who remained - about five million people - today are subjected to constant artillery and rocket fire from neo-Nazi militants. They hit hospitals and schools, arrange terrorist attacks against civilians.
We cannot, we have no moral right to hand over people close to us to be torn to pieces by executioners, we cannot but respond to their sincere desire to determine their own fate. The parliaments of the people's republics of Donbass, as well as the military-civilian administrations of the Kherson and Zaporozhye regions, decided to hold referendums on the future of these territories and turned to us, Russia, with a request to support such a step.
Let me emphasize that we will do our best to provide safe conditions for holding referendums, so that people can express their will. And we will support the decision about their future, which will be made by the majority of residents of the Donetsk and Lugansk People's Republics, Zaporozhye and Kherson regions.
Today, our Armed Forces, as I have already said, are operating on the line of contact, which exceeds a thousand kilometers, they are confronting not only neo-Nazi formations, but in fact the entire military machine of the collective West.
In this situation, I consider it necessary to take the following decision - it is fully adequate to the threats we face - namely: to protect our Motherland, its sovereignty and territorial integrity, to ensure the security of our people and people in the liberated territories, I consider it necessary to support the proposal of the Ministry of Defense and the General Staff to conduct partial mobilization in the Russian Federation.
I repeat, we are talking about partial mobilization, that is, only citizens who are currently in the reserve will be subject to conscription, and above all those who served in the Armed Forces, have certain military specialties and relevant experience .
Those called up for military service before being sent to units will undergo additional military training without fail, taking into account the experience of a special military operation.
The decree on partial mobilization has been signed.
In accordance with the law, the chambers of the Federal Assembly - the Federation Council and the State Duma - will be officially informed about this today by letters.
Mobilization activities will begin today, from 21 September. I instruct the heads of regions to provide all necessary assistance to the work of military commissariats.
I would like to emphasize that Russian citizens called up for military service by mobilization will receive the status, payments and all social guarantees of military personnel serving under a contract.
I will add that the Decree on partial mobilization also provides for additional measures to fulfill the state defense order. The heads of defense industry enterprises are directly responsible for solving the tasks of increasing the production of weapons and military equipment, and deploying additional production capacities. In turn, all issues of material, resource and financial support for defense enterprises must be resolved by the Government immediately.
Dear friends!
In its aggressive anti-Russian policy, the West has crossed every line. We constantly hear threats against our country, our people. Some irresponsible politicians in the West not only talk about plans to organize the supply of long-range offensive weapons to Ukraine - systems that will allow strikes against the Crimea and other regions of Russia.
Such terrorist strikes, including with the use of Western weapons, are already inflicted on the border settlements of the Belgorod and Kursk regions. In real time, using modern systems, aircraft, ships, satellites, strategic drones, NATO carries out reconnaissance throughout the south of Russia.
In Washington, London, Brussels, they are directly pushing Kyiv to transfer military operations to our territory. No longer hiding, they say that Russia should be defeated by all means on the battlefield, followed by the deprivation of political, economic, cultural, in general, any sovereignty, with the complete plunder of our country.
Nuclear blackmail also came into play. We are talking not only about the shelling of the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant, which is encouraged by the West, which threatens a nuclear catastrophe, but also about the statements of some high-ranking representatives of the leading NATO states about the possibility and admissibility of using weapons of mass destruction against Russia - nuclear weapons.
To those who allow themselves to make such statements about Russia, I would like to remind you that our country also has various means of destruction, and for some components - even more modern than those of the NATO countries. And when the territorial integrity of our country is threatened, we will certainly use all the means at our disposal to protect Russia and our people. It's not a bluff.
The citizens of Russia can be sure that the territorial integrity of our Motherland, our independence and freedom will be ensured - I emphasize this again - with all the means at our disposal. And those who are trying to blackmail us with nuclear weapons should know that the wind rose can also turn in their direction.
It is in our historical tradition, in the destiny of our people, to stop those who strive for world domination, who threaten with the dismemberment and enslavement of our Motherland, our Fatherland. We will do it now - and it will be so.
I believe in your support.
The West’s Awake is an independent writing platform. You can support my work by upgrading to become a paid member or new readers can join as email subscribers. Just click the Subscribe button below.
Alternatively if you enjoy the article and would like to make a small, once off coffee size contribution you can Buy the author a coffee. ☕️ or small one off contributions via Revolut to @gerryjjlc
Great article, incredulous would be the response but breaking barriors down bit by bit,you are someone who calls the tune,who breaks the news,who speaks for truth - Last day in June - Finn Brothers,keep up the good work,you are changing the landscape from information staring people right in the face to a full 360 degree vista,pendulum is swinging back,cheers Gerry.
Where are the anti-war lefties when they're needed?